Sometimes when it comes to making prop bets, there are weeks when I switch gears and go for a series of underrated bets. They’re about as simple as it gets – will the guy score a touchdown or won’t he?
It’s a pretty simple proposition. The cool part about anytime touchdowns is the name itself – anytime. A receiver may have no catches, and his team is getting crushed, and suddenly one red zone dart and you win with a stat line of 1-7-1. It’s glorious.
For our purposes, we make 5 picks that pay back more than the investment and one that you have to invest a little heavy in, but the prospect is too sweet to pass up.
Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 10 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
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Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:50 a.m. ET.
– Face Buccaneers at Munich, Sunday 9:30 a.m. ET (NFL Network)
This game is being played in Germany, and I’m a fan of having a reason to get up and watch football on a Sunday morning. Walker is my reason to have a vested interest as Germans pay homage to Bucs QB Tom Brady.
Since Rashaad Penny went down, Walker has been a scoring machine. He scored 7 touchdowns in his last 5 games and has at least 1 in every game.
The Buccaneers defense has only allowed 5 rushing touchdowns, but they’ve been run on heavy. If the Seahawks get a 1st-and-goal inside the 7-yard line, it’s Walker 3 times if needed.
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– At Steelers, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)
The Steelers pass defense is awful and has allowed 17 passing touchdowns in 8 games. Everybody gets a couple.
Olave has only caught 2 touchdown passes, but with WR Michael Thomas gone, Olave is head and shoulders the first option in the pass game and the most likely to be targeted downfield in the red zone.
In the brutal NFC South, every win is sacred and the Saints have the chance to pick up a much-needed “W” with the Falcons losing and the Buccaneers far from a cinch to beat Seattle earlier in the day.
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– Host Lions, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)
A month ago, a light came on in the Bears play calling that finally got things right and they started calling designed runs for Fields.
In the last 4 games, Fields has run 49 times for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns – 1 TD in each of the last 3 games.
The Lions can’t stop the run. Teams are averaging 5 yards a carry and have scored 13 rushing touchdowns in 8 games. When the average says you’re going to score 2 rush TDs, I’ll put my money on one of them being Fields, especially if a Philly Special comes out and he catches one.
– Host Broncos, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (CBS)
This is the only bet in this week’s group that you have to risk more than you win. Henry has been on one of his typical tears, and he has set a bar of success – he has scored a touchdown in 7 of his last 8 games.
Denver’s defense is going to be 8-in-the-box all day, but Tennessee QB Ryan Tannehill was Henry’s worst fantasy enemy. At the 1- or 2-yard line, Tannehill has a history of sniping touchdowns when defenses are expecting Henry.
Tannehill is back after missing 2 games with an injured ankle. If the Titans get inside the 5-yard line, why would a QB with a bum ankle take on large men with bad intentions in a tight window when he has a large teammate with bad intentions who can take on the mob?
– Host Colts, Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)
The Colts may be in “Suck for Luck” 2.0 mode with their recent organization-tilting decisions. Nick Foles won a Super Bowl. Matt Ryan blew winning a chip in epic fashion. Yet, they’re on the sidelines while QB Sam Ehlinger plies his meager craft.
RB Jonathan Taylor will clearly be the focus, but if Vegas can force a couple 3-and-outs where Taylor doesn’t make it 3rd-and-short, the Raiders will have plenty of opportunities to make big-play drives.
Against a team designed to slow-play, Adams is the venom that strikes quick and kills. The Raiders will be up-tempo by design because the current incarnation of the Colts has little response if down by double digits. The only way the Raiders force Indy to throw at their own peril is for Adams to make them pay on the defensive side.
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